CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6381f4e60cb4c1efbd34f7e28c9df0c72b068162bf1572750a4ed60bd23e2798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof aimclub, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0478…37c3backed mellren | 59c | 1,810$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.18 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed mellren | 59c | 881.7$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.84 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed aimclub | 40c | 746.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked mellren | 51c | 709.87$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.84 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked aimclub | 43c | 659.61$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.85 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked aimclub | 41c | 543.9$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked aimclub | 42c | 539.61$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed mellren | 60c | 508.9$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.85 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked aimclub | 22c | 447.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked mellren | 78c | 399.41$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked mellren | 61c | 374.45$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed aimclub | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed mellren | 60c | 245.03$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked aimclub | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…be15backed mellren | 78c | 238.28$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked aimclub | 39c | 234.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed aimclub | 41c | 232.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked aimclub | 44c | 204$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked mellren | 74c | 178.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked aimclub | 25c | 156.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed aimclub | 37c | 140.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed aimclub | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked aimclub | 25c | 134.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked aimclub | 57c | 124$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked aimclub | 35c | 121$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed aimclub | 23c | 114.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed aimclub | 13c | 103$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked aimclub | 39c | 100.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3540…3c49backed aimclub | 36c | 84.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed aimclub | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked aimclub | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed mellren | 59c | 69.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed mellren | 79c | 65.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…47c8backed aimclub | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…a90fbacked aimclub | 23c | 58.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…17bcbacked mellren | 59c | 56.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed mellren | 79c | 45.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed aimclub | 43c | 44.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed aimclub | 32c | 43.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked aimclub | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…fa83backed aimclub | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed mellren | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed aimclub | 40c | 26.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked mellren | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed mellren | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked mellren | 71c | 14.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsaimclub won
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren - Map 1 Winneraimclub won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.