TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa67f…a90f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.38
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$310
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+65.4%+$8.47
Lakers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+90.3%+$10.18
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.3%+$10.55
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.16
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+30.3%+$3.6
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$183.73
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$208.25
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$146.86
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+141.3%+$130.16
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$47.15
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+98.4%+$14.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Young TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerbacked Young TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$19.71
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$16.43
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$35.24
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+273.7%+$81.95
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ENJOY - Map 1 Winnerbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$9.87
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren - Map 2 Winnerbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.69
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 Winnerbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods - Map 2 Winnerbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$9.42
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tommy Paul Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.97
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
National Bank Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$38.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bearsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+30.9%+$3.9
Villanova Wildcats vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+71.4%+$8.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+399.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+399.7%+$43.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.