Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c23e15d9ddaba708d970f117dcf754bafcb52f26cbcbeae56c20fbc8f00e43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 29c | 7,513$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 6,623$4,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.68 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,915$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.56 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 1,216$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.73 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 1,071$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 21c | 982.25$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.06 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…7cfdbacked No | 78c | 777.81$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 5c | 770.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 689.64$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.89 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 34c | 588.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…964ebacked Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 289.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…e3a5backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 147.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…ab10backed Yes | 12c | 142.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 70c | 123.35$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…10a3backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed No | 71c | 93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 31c | 84.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 78c | 84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 30c | 83.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 75c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 73c | 51.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 67c | 46.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 27c | 44.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 39c | 43.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 72c | 36.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa489…a9efbacked Yes | 33c | 34.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 56c | 30.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 28.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 73c | 27.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…6c6cbacked Yes | 68c | 25.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…5500backed No | 73c | 23.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 79c | 23.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 60c | 23.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b07…c578backed Yes | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…37dabacked Yes | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed No | 74c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…a90fbacked No | 72c | 15.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked No | 76c | 13.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-26?Yes won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.