TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe9a…3487

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT3557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$106.96
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+32.2%+$7.29
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.4%+$18.3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+31.9%+$32.11
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+30.3%+$26.46
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MOUZ NXT (BO3)backed MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Marsborne (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Counter-Strike: ALLINNERS vs DEPO (BO3)backed ALLINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+62.1%+$113
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Mousquetaires (BO3)backed Mousquetaires · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$69.85
Counter-Strike: EPG Family vs Oxuji Esports (BO3)backed EPG Family · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+55.9%+$98.52
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG (BO3)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$135.45
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$695.06
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+29.9%+$53.13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$114.24
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$92.74
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$227.12
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$767.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$116.43
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+112.8%+$679.74
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$643.97
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2584%21 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+59%+$147.62
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 2backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.41
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.3
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.9
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$23.2
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.2%+$27.12
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.9%+$10.6
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+41.5%+$8.8
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.3%+$6.8
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.9%+$11.2
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+43.7%+$9.38
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+37%+$13.5
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Group Abacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.2%+$23.4
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+36.2%+$7.98
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+39.5%+$8.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+85.6%+$18.61
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$31.17
LoL: Japan vs Team Liquid (BO1)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
LoL: DN Freecs vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO1)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$126
LoL: Dplus KIA vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO1)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$49.24
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+100%+$222.6
LoL: T1 vs Los Ratones (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$69
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Valinor (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Valinor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$57.61
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Abacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+41.6%+$7.35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34.9%+$4.62
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.45
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO1)backed Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.35
Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)backed Pasika UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3)backed REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys (BO3)backed REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+212.5%+$98.6
Dota 2: Runa Team vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)backed Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+28.8%+$129.16
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$257.45
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$149.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskovabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+25.6%+$202.51
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Juncheng Shang vs Francisco Comesanabacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.9%+$39.6
Brisbane International: Karolina Muchova vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Brisbane International: Marketa Vondrousova vs Magdalena Frechbacked Vondrousova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$139.53
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Yibing Wu vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Brisbane International: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Brisbane International: Jaqueline Cristian vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.7%+$15.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.8
Lafayette Leopards vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Lafayette Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+32.8%+$7.41
Mercer Bears vs. Wofford Terriersbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governorsbacked Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Charleston Cougars vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Stony Brook Seawolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+30.5%+$11.7
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+43.3%+$9.06
Virginia Cavaliers vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+43.5%+$18.2
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+195%+$132.2
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.97
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.4
Capitals vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$54.14
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.74
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-55.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+34.5%+$7.7
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$53.41
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$338.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$103.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$201
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 5)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.