Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5632cbb5b55be1eee270748775e196f5b9d6a6be87cff112783e3f03d6fccde5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Inner Circle, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9671…3a70backed VP.Prodigy | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Inner Circle | 58c | 1,816$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.02 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Inner Circle | 64c | 1,760$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.95 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 1,256$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.24 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.67 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Inner Circle | 62c | 1,000$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.88 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed VP.Prodigy | 4c | 968.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Inner Circle | 58c | 935.19$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.92 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 890$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked VP.Prodigy | 30c | 705.55$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.67 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked VP.Prodigy | 48c | 691.3$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.82 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 670.49$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.95 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked VP.Prodigy | 45c | 649.24$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.05 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 539.9$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.73 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed VP.Prodigy | 49c | 534.85$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 530.74$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.65 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VP.Prodigy | 25c | 443.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Inner Circle | 59c | 410.88$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce6…030ebacked Inner Circle | 77c | 334.91$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Inner Circle | 65c | 333.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Inner Circle | 77c | 327.68$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 298.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked VP.Prodigy | 46c | 287.15$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Inner Circle | 65c | 277.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Inner Circle | 59c | 256.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Inner Circle | 75c | 230.4$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Inner Circle | 51c | 211.22$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Inner Circle | 49c | 202.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 200.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Inner Circle | 55c | 200.22$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed VP.Prodigy | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Inner Circle | 75c | 181.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Inner Circle | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 160.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Inner Circle | 50c | 160$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 153.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 151.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Inner Circle | 51c | 145.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Inner Circle | 69c | 145.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Inner Circle | 71c | 117.62$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Inner Circle | 53c | 117.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…229cbacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 110.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 107.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 107$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VP.Prodigy | 40c | 105.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked VP.Prodigy | 28c | 104.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 99.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed VP.Prodigy | 50c | 99.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle | 66c | 94.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Inner Circle | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 84.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…9953backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 83.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked VP.Prodigy | 30c | 80.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Inner Circle | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Inner Circle | 51c | 70.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed Inner Circle | 57c | 69.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Inner Circle | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…a314backed Inner Circle | 63c | 59.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked VP.Prodigy | 30c | 59.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Inner Circle | 74c | 58.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Inner Circle | 71c | 56.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 50.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Inner Circle | 64c | 49.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Inner Circle | 77c | 41.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked VP.Prodigy | 28c | 40.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 39.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…38e4backed Inner Circle | 56c | 37.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked VP.Prodigy | 55c | 36.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac2…b76ebacked Inner Circle | 70c | 33.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Inner Circle | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Inner Circle | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Inner Circle | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…4dacbacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed Inner Circle | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…0a40backed VP.Prodigy | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Inner Circle | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed Inner Circle | 59c | 26.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Inner Circle | 71c | 25.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…11c2backed Inner Circle | 70c | 21.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…1bc7backed Inner Circle | 69c | 21.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Inner Circle | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…bd91backed Inner Circle | 71c | 17.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Inner Circle | 76c | 16.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d74…bb57backed Inner Circle | 69c | 16.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d6…774fbacked Inner Circle | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.