TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0b0…ad2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
301
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST21062.4%131 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aomqu and friends vs yache123 (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Aomqu and friends · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+154.8%+$31.59
Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$53.22
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+43.4%+$51.68
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+27.4%+$18.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$458.25
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$52.05
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$42.48
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$186.11
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$662.36
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$163.35
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$108.19
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.62
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,045Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+76.5%+$799.15
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+35.7%+$230.26
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$722.43
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+31.5%+$63.45
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$141.8
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40.7%+$99.9
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$167.13
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+46.3%+$469.69
Dota 2: Heroic vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$267.96
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+179%+$359.2
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.54
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+27.8%+$55.71
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.6
LoL: DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$44.55
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+175.6%+$44.58
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$38.1
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+82.4%+$49.7
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.2%+$62.17
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.79
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$25.6
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.7
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.65
LoL: DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.89
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.74
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
LoL: LYON vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.6
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.21
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.6
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST3565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$303.41
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$43.52
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$17.05
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$15.12
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Ursa (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+57.5%+$8.6
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$53.59
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$93.11
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.77
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.59
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Charrados FC (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+74.2%+$21.3
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Cbacked Fingers Crossed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Fingers Crossed - Map 1 Winnerbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.52
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs Truck Drivers - Map 2 Winnerbacked Truck Drivers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs Truck Drivers - Map 1 Winnerbacked Truck Drivers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.25
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50.19
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Imperial (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.2
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Legacy (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$23.85
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$33.25
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.84
Charlotte 49ers vs. Rice Owlsbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.68
Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+44.4%+$52.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.7%+$9.43
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+26.3%+$16.37
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+170.3%+$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.