Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Milwaukee Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0466baa336377364901c0ff66f378659b753b2ed0f6251d35a22e828fe0fa3e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Panthersof IU Indy Jaguars, Milwaukee Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6218…f388backed IU Indy Jaguars | 37c | 10,924$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 67c | 5,974$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 68c | 3,026$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.12 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 69c | 2,202$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed IU Indy Jaguars | 11c | 1,312$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Milwaukee Panthers | 47c | 1,215$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.9 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed IU Indy Jaguars | 19c | 815$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 28c | 790.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed IU Indy Jaguars | 35c | 382.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 38c | 354.23$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed IU Indy Jaguars | 17c | 312$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed IU Indy Jaguars | 9c | 298$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked IU Indy Jaguars | 42c | 273.55$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 51c | 264.35$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Milwaukee Panthers | 76c | 261.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 17c | 244.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed IU Indy Jaguars | 34c | 229.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 74c | 229.29$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Milwaukee Panthers | 52c | 224$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 53c | 220.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 28c | 216$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed IU Indy Jaguars | 18c | 214.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…304dbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed IU Indy Jaguars | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed IU Indy Jaguars | 19c | 177.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed IU Indy Jaguars | 7c | 151.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Milwaukee Panthers | 71c | 141.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Milwaukee Panthers | 78c | 127.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Milwaukee Panthers | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed IU Indy Jaguars | 51c | 115.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 12c | 104.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed IU Indy Jaguars | 46c | 98.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 18c | 90.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Milwaukee Panthers | 76c | 79.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed IU Indy Jaguars | 37c | 76.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 61c | 60.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…9a41backed Milwaukee Panthers | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 40c | 37.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 25.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…543ebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Milwaukee Panthers | 57c | 18.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IU Indy Jaguars vs. Milwaukee Panthersthis page
- IU Indy Jaguars vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 164.5Over won
- IU Indy Jaguars vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-10.5)Milwaukee Panthers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-11.5)Milwaukee Panthers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-9.5)Milwaukee Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.