Lol · resolved market
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe42599a96e61c7f49ccb1e2d11df0f8251aeb45b1bb6df415630a6e39144b8a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 17,807$7,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,503.04 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed FlyQuest | 50c | 10,954$5,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.08 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 8,090$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.99 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 7,717$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.06 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed FlyQuest | 60c | 7,385$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.91 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked FlyQuest | 65c | 6,309$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.11 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 3,500$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.34 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 2,989$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.74 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed FlyQuest | 58c | 2,595$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.69 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 2,083$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.79 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FlyQuest | 62c | 1,728$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.18 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FlyQuest | 52c | 1,414$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.71 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 1,407$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 1,000$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.24 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 839.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed FlyQuest | 64c | 792.03$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FlyQuest | 59c | 741.28$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.78 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked FlyQuest | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed FlyQuest | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed FlyQuest | 16c | 598.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.9 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 568.24$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked FlyQuest | 61c | 557.38$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked FlyQuest | 70c | 511.36$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 503$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Shopify Rebellion | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…93a6backed Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2657…4af5backed FlyQuest | 51c | 490$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.08 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Shopify Rebellion | 67c | 480.13$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.95 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked FlyQuest | 48c | 401.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked FlyQuest | 52c | 385.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.74 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 379.06$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed FlyQuest | 64c | 358.52$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked FlyQuest | 70c | 357.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed FlyQuest | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 341.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.92 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 340.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 330$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked FlyQuest | 49c | 319.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.19 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FlyQuest | 63c | 319$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 311.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 289 | 23.5%68 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FlyQuest | 70c | 310.21$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 299.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 270$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FlyQuest | 65c | 266.85$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed FlyQuest | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 235.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63b8…3937backed FlyQuest | 65c | 219.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed FlyQuest | 68c | 218.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…0276backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 206.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked FlyQuest | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 179.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FlyQuest | 67c | 168.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 153.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 148.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed FlyQuest | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 146$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed FlyQuest | 59c | 138.37$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FlyQuest | 30c | 133.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 117.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 106.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 205 | 50.2%103 W · 102 L | +15.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 106.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed FlyQuest | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed FlyQuest | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…f87ebacked FlyQuest | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…5067backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FlyQuest | 69c | 95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed FlyQuest | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 74.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b8…9b30backed FlyQuest | 49c | 72.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FlyQuest | 70c | 69.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1a07backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 65.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FlyQuest | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed FlyQuest | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked FlyQuest | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 44.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…4a36backed FlyQuest | 51c | 42.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed FlyQuest | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…78fbbacked FlyQuest | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…6dcfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 37.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked FlyQuest | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…9ab3backed FlyQuest | 68c | 28.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc90…19efbacked Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed FlyQuest | 51c | 24.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…2302backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 23.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked FlyQuest | 61c | 22.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed FlyQuest | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…2dcabacked FlyQuest | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)FlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.