TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc762…0276

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT4540%18 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.14
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$44.02
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.24
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.6
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-Inbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.28
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.7
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.81
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$95.73
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$102.77
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.98
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.95
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.18
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$88.81
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+192.1%+$500.06
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.1
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 Winnerbacked Apex Mission Impossible · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$77.83
LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$109.14
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.6
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$74.31
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$95
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.61
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$95
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$95
All 5 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atmane vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.72
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.