TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Winthrop Universityof Winthrop University, Blue Otter
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Winthrop University57c7,597$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,303.7259450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Blue Otter43c3,417$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.361,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66d2…4186backed Winthrop University49c3,406$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.216440.6%26 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Winthrop University57c2,566$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.761,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Blue Otter44c2,354$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.6324741.3%102 W · 145 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Winthrop University77c1,738$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.021,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Winthrop University45c1,726$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.9982554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Blue Otter24c1,695$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.572725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Blue Otter34c1,440$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.391,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Blue Otter49c1,066$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.2543839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Blue Otter18c1,052$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2917041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc105…c1b0backed Blue Otter17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170244.2%1 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56fa…2b82backed Blue Otter51c964.76$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.775052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07a…c3debacked Blue Otter14c948.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.378441.7%35 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04b…f09bbacked Winthrop University68c935.87$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.182454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Blue Otter51c917.88$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.1221440.2%86 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd98…6178backed Blue Otter42c896.2$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.232737%10 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Winthrop University78c882.44$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1217143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Winthrop University59c797.01$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.777100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Blue Otter38c792.54$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.161,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Blue Otter43c787.69$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.790537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Winthrop University73c753.52$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.351,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Winthrop University68c671.78$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.171,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Blue Otter28c651.77$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.21,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Blue Otter47c649.56$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.2924041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Blue Otter21c646.34$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1858420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Winthrop University62c602.08$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.792962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1620…cae7backed Blue Otter25c582.51$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.211414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe081…fc19backed Blue Otter51c576$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.17630.3%23 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Winthrop University72c569.42$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7918467.9%125 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Blue Otter41c565.73$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9531337.7%118 W · 195 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Winthrop University61c500.04$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.891,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Winthrop University73c471.29$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.946418.8%12 W · 52 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Blue Otter43c466.56$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.937647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Blue Otter55c456.59$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1243442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Blue Otter41c420.38$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6815747.8%75 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Blue Otter20c416.21$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8251247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cb…dfd3backed Winthrop University44c408.49$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7510100%10 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+71.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Winthrop University69c399.72$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.882,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a35…de38backed Winthrop University67c392.69$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.895230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Blue Otter41c348.28$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6916035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Blue Otter56c318.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6323047%108 W · 122 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Blue Otter43c315.57$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.76533.8%22 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Blue Otter43c299.94$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.975232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Blue Otter45c292.4$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5322536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d66…aa07backed Blue Otter17c285.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.463652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Blue Otter42c279.91$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5644743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…a754backed Blue Otter19c270.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0835323.2%82 W · 271 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Blue Otter22c270.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.680832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Blue Otter48c269.32$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.910831.5%34 W · 74 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaabb…2b32backed Blue Otter48c262.54$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed Blue Otter44c259.17$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.047741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Winthrop University53c249.39$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.792450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…60cfbacked Blue Otter51c247.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.188943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Blue Otter55c242.37$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.38448.8%41 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Blue Otter55c230.58$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.821,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Blue Otter55c228.3$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5624445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc762…0276backed Winthrop University52c225.56$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.144540%18 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Blue Otter7c210.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.491,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Winthrop University58c209.79$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.112,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7fb…4ce4backed Blue Otter51c201.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.962240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Blue Otter25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022250.5%112 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Winthrop University77c199.37$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7725065.6%164 W · 86 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0122…f1aabacked Blue Otter51c198.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.13751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked Winthrop University60c197.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1916254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Blue Otter43c193.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0623832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Winthrop University61c182.8$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4675942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed Blue Otter26c180.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7911532.2%37 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Blue Otter24c177.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9669644.4%309 W · 387 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Blue Otter19c175.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4864435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Winthrop University59c166.29$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7679864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Winthrop University59c165.4$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8646154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Winthrop University59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7869841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d1d…3f8dbacked Winthrop University59c164.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Winthrop University72c162.2$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.926556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Blue Otter36c160.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.762739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Blue Otter46c156.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8830441.8%127 W · 177 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Blue Otter43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.518141.4%75 W · 106 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Winthrop University66c147.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5334960.7%212 W · 137 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked Winthrop University53c137.87$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9439940.4%161 W · 238 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef4…763dbacked Blue Otter51c134.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.933946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked Winthrop University74c132.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.528965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Winthrop University68c131.27$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.582,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Blue Otter51c125.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.129062.2%56 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Blue Otter46c124.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3964443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Blue Otter27c117.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.542,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c42…f48cbacked Blue Otter51c116.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed85…c85abacked Winthrop University60c112.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5512067.5%81 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a41…15b2backed Winthrop University61c111.86$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9613842.8%59 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Blue Otter51c107.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.343554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Winthrop University57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4363646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Winthrop University57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4317739%69 W · 108 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Blue Otter47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4747444.1%209 W · 265 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e0…fe90backed Blue Otter25c99.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.856214.5%9 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-58.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Winthrop University51c99.41$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7116549.7%82 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0b…ef0cbacked Winthrop University61c97.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0918942.3%80 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Blue Otter24c94.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.621,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Winthrop University57c90.6$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9618359.6%109 W · 74 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e0…7349backed Blue Otter46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Winthrop University77c80.95$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0239859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.