TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x10cf…60cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT8943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49%+$131.01
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.2
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$181.34
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)backed Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)backed Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.8
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$145.36
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$84.45
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.3
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.6
LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$142.88
LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winnerbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.6
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Lodis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+174.7%+$669.16
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.9
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.9
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,122.11
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$525.2
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$327.86
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$278.89
LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Play-Insbacked Shark Attack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Insbacked Shark Attack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)backed UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+1,248.6%+$290.92
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.6
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$126.16
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Color (+1.5)backed Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$147.41
Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)backed Fortress · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.7
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.5
Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Vitality Academy (+1.5)backed Vitality Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$128.04
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)backed Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.6
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.09
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$123.85
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$42.84
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Bbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$326
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$176.1
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Game Hunters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$111.26
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs MASONIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked OLDBOYS- · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$26.89
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.73
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$77.73
Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs Imperial Academy (+1.5)backed Imperial Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$60.14
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$27.78
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$71.34
Map Handicap: FV (-1.5) vs InControl (+1.5)backed InControl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.42
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$132.37
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Infinite (BO1) - DraculaN Group Dbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.3
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Partizan Esport (BO1) - DraculaN Group Bbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.7
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$63.01
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)backed Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.4
Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$156.89
Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$334.29
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72.11
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)backed ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$231.85
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62.97
Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.89
Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked AlQadsiah Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.3
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$172.4
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Dbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.1
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.45
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$76.26
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked ROSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$41.73
Valorant: Dplus vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.31
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$104.54
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.