CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Color (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba8e8f3c8fc8b2bdf3017ab3c9b3fdc48535c96662cf221f832b350acd605ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorof Metizport, Color
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Color | 75c | 4,998$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.48 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Metizport | 24c | 950$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed Metizport | 24c | 886.5$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Metizport | 25c | 701.62$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.09 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Metizport | 27c | 586.82$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked Metizport | 24c | 522.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed Metizport | 24c | 440.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Color | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Metizport | 24c | 240.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Metizport | 27c | 236.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Metizport | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Metizport | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Metizport | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…c511backed Metizport | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Color | 76c | 96.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Metizport | 27c | 87.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Color | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Metizport | 24c | 67.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…a470backed Metizport | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Metizport | 24c | 48.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Metizport | 33c | 45.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Metizport | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Metizport | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Metizport | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…7f56backed Color | 77c | 32.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Color | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Color | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 173 | 60.1%104 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Color | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Color (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color - Map 1 WinnerMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color - Map 2 WinnerColor won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.