TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56fa…2b82

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$218.93
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90.02
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)backed Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.69
Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)backed Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.89
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$121.79
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+235.6%+$211.63
Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs RMD Gaming (+1.5)backed Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.91
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$113.1
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$155.29
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.56
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$113.64
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$169.12
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.27
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$61.13
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked Onion Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.51
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX iTero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.49
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$102.43
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.97
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$81.89
LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.77
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.31
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$40.11
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.04
Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Color (+1.5)backed Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.76
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.45
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Game Hunters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$27.84
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.03
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$95.18
Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs Imperial Academy (+1.5)backed Imperial Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.1
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$72.34
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.49
Counter-Strike: ex-MINLATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked ex-MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.27
Map Handicap: FV (-1.5) vs InControl (+1.5)backed InControl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.32
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$415.21
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Infinite (BO1) - DraculaN Group Dbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$271
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$291.55
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.56
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$128.59
Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$80.46
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$73.7
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$100.9
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$108.31
Valorant: LEO vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Abacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$8.7
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.23
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked ROSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$42.29
Valorant: Dplus vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$158.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.35
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.32
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$991.08
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$247.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yangon Galacticos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.