CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x609cc8509537d46e53313aea18aec2046d7304a7bc1b2861a712da7a94887231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Johnny Speeds, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 46c | 11,324$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,123.92 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…6ba2backed Johnny Speeds | 38c | 9,152$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Ursa | 46c | 6,454$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.15 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Johnny Speeds | 18c | 5,339$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.45 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Ursa | 45c | 4,160$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.59 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Johnny Speeds | 67c | 4,145$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ursa | 72c | 3,708$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.04 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Ursa | 78c | 2,887$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.7 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Johnny Speeds | 28c | 2,703$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.5 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Johnny Speeds | 41c | 2,098$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.94 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Johnny Speeds | 75c | 2,033$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Johnny Speeds | 25c | 1,933$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.45 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…7a2cbacked Johnny Speeds | 53c | 1,863$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ursa | 76c | 1,845$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Johnny Speeds | 32c | 1,698$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.3 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Ursa | 22c | 1,676$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.1 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 1,629$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c38…91b7backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 1,516$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 1,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Ursa | 51c | 1,279$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.34 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 1,271$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.25 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…b201backed Ursa | 66c | 1,235$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Ursa | 45c | 1,201$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Johnny Speeds | 60c | 1,200$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f5…a937backed Johnny Speeds | 10c | 1,190$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 51c | 1,186$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.7 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 978.52$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.98 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 913.46$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.72 | 151 | 64.2%97 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 42c | 836.62$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.88 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…b30bbacked Johnny Speeds | 14c | 834.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 798.21$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.69 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Johnny Speeds | 24c | 787.55$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…6197backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 780.44$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 777.76$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.78 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…66a8backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 730.37$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Ursa | 41c | 723.45$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.84 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa | 53c | 713.18$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.01 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Johnny Speeds | 47c | 707.11$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.06 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 643.36$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.45 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Johnny Speeds | 51c | 627.01$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.79 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Ursa | 52c | 625.35$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…08f4backed Ursa | 58c | 599.38$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Johnny Speeds | 22c | 597.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Ursa | 45c | 577.55$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.49 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Ursa | 30c | 568.19$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 528.96$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.28 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Johnny Speeds | 56c | 513.23$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Ursa | 40c | 507.5$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.66 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Ursa | 37c | 500.44$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.71 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…f362backed Johnny Speeds | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Ursa | 20c | 500$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 499.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 462.47$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.13 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 460.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.93 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Ursa | 44c | 450.92$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.34 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 426.34$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 424.7$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.34 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 70c | 423.5$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.46 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Ursa | 43c | 412.17$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 67c | 398.06$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Ursa | 46c | 385$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Ursa | 32c | 368.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +4.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +184.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 367.94$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.12 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ursa | 17c | 366.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.88 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Ursa | 42c | 350.37$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.21 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Ursa | 40c | 348.32$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Ursa | 41c | 346.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.38 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ursa | 40c | 344.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.92 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 339.55$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Ursa | 30c | 337.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.27 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Johnny Speeds | 72c | 336.25$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa | 39c | 332.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ursa | 24c | 323.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.72 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 320.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.13 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…a60ebacked Johnny Speeds | 63c | 313.92$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…c40fbacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 309.07$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…90c2backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 288.36$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Johnny Speeds | 60c | 284.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 272.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Johnny Speeds | 27c | 268.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed Ursa | 57c | 260.23$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 252.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Johnny Speeds | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…5379backed Johnny Speeds | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…49e9backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 249.18$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ursa | 26c | 247.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…eb9fbacked Johnny Speeds | 53c | 241.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ursa | 19c | 237.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.66 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Ursa | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 231.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Johnny Speeds | 13c | 226$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 218.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Johnny Speeds | 63c | 215$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Johnny Speeds | 53c | 214.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 213.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 212.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Johnny Speeds | 34c | 211.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 207.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Johnny Speeds | 20c | 205.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Ursa | 43c | 204.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.87 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.