Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0331d3151ac103d78ea1e0dbf0f1eda0a863f50b2773cfd6d791c94ceb9cacb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivoryof Ivory, Yangon Galacticos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Ivory | 61c | 2,999$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.52 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Yangon Galacticos | 42c | 2,216$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Yangon Galacticos | 39c | 719.87$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ivory | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Ivory | 64c | 531.22$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.19 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Yangon Galacticos | 37c | 525.19$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yangon Galacticos | 6c | 449.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yangon Galacticos | 33c | 392.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Ivory | 57c | 348.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.05 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…55f5backed Yangon Galacticos | 37c | 343.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Ivory | 58c | 253.64$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Yangon Galacticos | 37c | 240.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Ivory | 63c | 232.25$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Yangon Galacticos | 23c | 202.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed Yangon Galacticos | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -84%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Yangon Galacticos | 42c | 180.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yangon Galacticos | 42c | 160.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…ef37backed Ivory | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Ivory | 54c | 111.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Ivory | 69c | 104.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Ivory | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Ivory | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ivory | 69c | 69.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Ivory | 75c | 66.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb57…32dcbacked Yangon Galacticos | 47c | 65.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…3223backed Ivory | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Ivory | 41c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yangon Galacticos | 32c | 55.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yangon Galacticos | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yangon Galacticos | 27c | 53.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Ivory | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Ivory | 76c | 47.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yangon Galacticos | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed Yangon Galacticos | 37c | 42.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Ivory | 73c | 40.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80a…110abacked Yangon Galacticos | 39c | 38.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 36c | 37.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Yangon Galacticos | 42c | 36.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yangon Galacticos | 40c | 32.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Ivory | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Ivory | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Ivory | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Ivory | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed Ivory | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 WinnerIvory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.