Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85bb213b52aadaa607b7e83e9f0614e78a5ccf0146493f63eb7ebd29b6592dba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof G2 Esports, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports | 51c | 10,000$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.69 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 4,980$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.12 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed FURIA Esports | 61c | 1,366$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.15 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed G2 Esports | 39c | 1,125$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.75 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked G2 Esports | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed G2 Esports | 41c | 904.91$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.01 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…6815backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 448$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.04 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 315.77$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed G2 Esports | 48c | 313.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked G2 Esports | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 285.75$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 275.85$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed G2 Esports | 47c | 255.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed G2 Esports | 42c | 240.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 233.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 207.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked FURIA Esports | 48c | 192.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked G2 Esports | 35c | 177.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed G2 Esports | 42c | 156.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed G2 Esports | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked G2 Esports | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked G2 Esports | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 106.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…bcacbacked G2 Esports | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…50fcbacked G2 Esports | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked G2 Esports | 51c | 98.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…3fe0backed G2 Esports | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked G2 Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed G2 Esports | 56c | 79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked FURIA Esports | 57c | 74.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked G2 Esports | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed G2 Esports | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 61.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…4e56backed G2 Esports | 44c | 59.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 53.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 49.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked G2 Esports | 45c | 44.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c9…de73backed G2 Esports | 34c | 43.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 42.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked G2 Esports | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed G2 Esports | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed G2 Esports | 60c | 31.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed G2 Esports | 48c | 30.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 28.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 23.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked G2 Esports | 51c | 22.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 22.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked FURIA Esports | 55c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed FURIA Esports | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)FURIA Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)FURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.