TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60cd…3e7e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT8246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: TYLOO vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.28
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$159.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$147.8
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$129.85
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)backed Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$117.32
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$140.95
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+1.5)backed FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.96
Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs Sharper Esport (+1.5)backed Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$185.43
Valorant: A Team vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.78
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$123.61
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$130.95
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$101.74
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.65
Tirante vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$87.56
Nakashima vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$115.5
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$117.31
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Quentin Halys vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$251.25
Ben Shelton vs. Brandon Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.06
Zandschulp vs. Hurkacz: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$132.72
Vancouver: Harry Wendelken vs Keegan Ricebacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
ASB Classic: Emilio Nava vs Sebastian Baezbacked Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+94.9%+$56.92
Set Handicap: Shang (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)backed Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$46.75
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$29.55
Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$19.47
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Mmoh (+1.5)backed Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.55
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42.47
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$235.92
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$97.5
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$57.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.36
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+59.4%+$29.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.