Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8673c181c75007fd25c5b85462df5f991572fc993f5f156ac265ab47a0457321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof All Gamers, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61d…fefbbacked All Gamers | 43c | 930.39$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Trace Esports | 58c | 532.33$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.81 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Trace Esports | 58c | 497.87$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.11 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed All Gamers | 38c | 389.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 322 | 41.9%135 W · 187 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Trace Esports | 56c | 385.39$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked Trace Esports | 62c | 310.6$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked Trace Esports | 63c | 78.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed All Gamers | 40c | 76.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed All Gamers | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Trace Esports | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 393 | 50.9%200 W · 193 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed All Gamers | 40c | 54.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Trace Esports | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Trace Esports | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Trace Esports | 60c | 49.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Trace Esports | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Trace Esports | 61c | 33.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Trace Esports | 60c | 31.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsAll Gamers won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.