Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x217ac6206d8cbcf66be826100a63884db38b58e1e089937c6b1da0c52a0220b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, All Gamers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked All Gamers | 69c | 1,216$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.22 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed All Gamers | 66c | 1,038$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Trace Esports | 34c | 691.48$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.73 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Trace Esports | 28c | 504.12$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.41 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Trace Esports | 43c | 403.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.79 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Trace Esports | 35c | 324$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Trace Esports | 54c | 313$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed All Gamers | 4c | 305.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…5ef9backed Trace Esports | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Trace Esports | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Trace Esports | 34c | 239.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Trace Esports | 37c | 212.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trace Esports | 31c | 192.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked All Gamers | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed All Gamers | 62c | 137.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Trace Esports | 30c | 132.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Trace Esports | 30c | 122.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked All Gamers | 43c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed All Gamers | 67c | 105.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed All Gamers | 62c | 101.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Trace Esports | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Trace Esports | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Trace Esports | 39c | 99.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed All Gamers | 70c | 95.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed All Gamers | 64c | 91.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed All Gamers | 76c | 86.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…12f1backed Trace Esports | 35c | 81.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Trace Esports | 33c | 76.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed Trace Esports | 34c | 71.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked All Gamers | 71c | 70.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Trace Esports | 29c | 69.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Trace Esports | 62c | 68.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed All Gamers | 65c | 51.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked Trace Esports | 35c | 43.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Trace Esports | 43c | 43.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked All Gamers | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Trace Esports | 35c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Trace Esports | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed Trace Esports | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked All Gamers | 71c | 39.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Trace Esports | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Trace Esports | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Trace Esports | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Trace Esports | 53c | 34.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Trace Esports | 31c | 34.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…41f9backed All Gamers | 44c | 33.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Trace Esports | 37c | 32.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked All Gamers | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Trace Esports | 33c | 29.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…9035backed Trace Esports | 40c | 29.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed All Gamers | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…5f6bbacked Trace Esports | 45c | 28.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked All Gamers | 71c | 25.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked All Gamers | 66c | 23.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked All Gamers | 67c | 22.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Trace Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…79fcbacked Trace Esports | 69c | 19.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…d785backed All Gamers | 60c | 18.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed All Gamers | 70c | 15.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ae…1e17backed Trace Esports | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsAll Gamers won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.