Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d08479995bc57dacc27fafe4b4d68a5f092462d3c410370ad781e14c40e9f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof Trace Esports, All Gamers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked All Gamers | 69c | 1,279$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.99 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed All Gamers | 56c | 799.98$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Trace Esports | 44c | 697.36$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.77 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed All Gamers | 42c | 679$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.82 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Trace Esports | 23c | 494$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed All Gamers | 21c | 439.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.17 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked All Gamers | 45c | 434.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.39 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Trace Esports | 50c | 399.01$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.52 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Trace Esports | 28c | 287.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Trace Esports | 45c | 287.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Trace Esports | 15c | 262$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed All Gamers | 48c | 211.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Trace Esports | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Trace Esports | 45c | 191.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…e654backed All Gamers | 52c | 160$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Trace Esports | 42c | 157.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked All Gamers | 62c | 144.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Trace Esports | 44c | 140.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked Trace Esports | 40c | 124.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Trace Esports | 43c | 121.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Trace Esports | 32c | 111.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed All Gamers | 70c | 101.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked All Gamers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Trace Esports | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Trace Esports | 23c | 98.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked All Gamers | 49c | 92.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…9b8fbacked Trace Esports | 45c | 89.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked All Gamers | 58c | 85.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Trace Esports | 46c | 83.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked All Gamers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…5f6bbacked Trace Esports | 47c | 80.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Trace Esports | 77c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…cec2backed All Gamers | 55c | 77.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…27d6backed Trace Esports | 75c | 74.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Trace Esports | 23c | 69.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Trace Esports | 50c | 69.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Trace Esports | 35c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Trace Esports | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Trace Esports | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Trace Esports | 29c | 59.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed All Gamers | 65c | 57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Trace Esports | 39c | 51.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…0fb8backed All Gamers | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked All Gamers | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Trace Esports | 53c | 48.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…1f0dbacked Trace Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1c…d47dbacked All Gamers | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed All Gamers | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821b…8b2bbacked Trace Esports | 56c | 35.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed All Gamers | 51c | 33.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Trace Esports | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Trace Esports | 48c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddf…d85bbacked Trace Esports | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Trace Esports | 59c | 22.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Trace Esports | 51c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed All Gamers | 54c | 20.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsAll Gamers won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.