TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
All Gamersof Trace Esports, All Gamers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeac2…dddcbacked Trace Esports20c7,053$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.6712652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed All Gamers68c3,761$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.563955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Trace Esports32c3,444$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.3529255.8%163 W · 129 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Trace Esports17c3,400$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56532445.4%147 W · 177 L+51.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+39.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed All Gamers70c2,521$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.422254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed All Gamers62c2,381$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.216746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Trace Esports33c2,347$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.4926838.1%102 W · 166 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x806a…b7dabacked All Gamers66c2,163$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Trace Esports37c2,143$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.615955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Trace Esports31c2,087$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.6740345.9%185 W · 218 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Trace Esports41c2,046$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.593649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f8…2239backed All Gamers68c1,976$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed All Gamers71c1,937$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.751942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19fb…bd68backed All Gamers63c1,715$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed All Gamers59c1,618$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.291,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Trace Esports32c1,586$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.699737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Trace Esports34c1,544$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked All Gamers65c1,494$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.661353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked All Gamers71c1,388$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.611353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Trace Esports30c1,384$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.42737%10 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Trace Esports32c1,294$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.0828742.9%123 W · 164 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce7d…898ebacked Trace Esports8c1,277$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Trace Esports43c1,229$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.491,25349.5%620 W · 633 L-3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Trace Esports30c1,169$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.7716647.6%79 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed All Gamers46c1,168$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3614850%74 W · 74 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Trace Esports38c1,162$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.9425855.4%143 W · 115 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf7…0fb8backed All Gamers73c1,157$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.133100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Trace Esports37c1,113$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.7742035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Trace Esports32c1,040$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.7418148.1%87 W · 94 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed All Gamers68c1,031$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.1135157.3%201 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports19c1,002$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.331,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Trace Esports34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked All Gamers67c998.95$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6555152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a34…ab72backed Trace Esports39c970.96$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Trace Esports32c953.13$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30529733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed All Gamers25c943.32$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.494517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed All Gamers67c902.91$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.92556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed All Gamers59c899.14$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.0213449.3%66 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Trace Esports29c807.81$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0156551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Trace Esports43c793.6$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.259151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed All Gamers62c695.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.7232241.9%135 W · 187 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63ef…7d38backed All Gamers72c688$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.561172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Trace Esports29c679.43$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.036253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked All Gamers66c672.02$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.276952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed All Gamers66c628.18$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.248681.4%70 W · 16 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+18.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8fe…211ebacked Trace Esports32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x789a…3dfabacked All Gamers66c615.14$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x92d0…d69bbacked All Gamers71c599.37$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Trace Esports30c595.26$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5825756%144 W · 113 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9a…000dbacked All Gamers77c595$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.851353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Trace Esports23c595$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8519140.3%77 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af3…9cb5backed All Gamers68c586.27$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.492040%8 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed All Gamers80c577.23$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.087455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed All Gamers67c575.82$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0211656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked All Gamers69c573.23$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8960454%326 W · 278 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed All Gamers65c565.47$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4832462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed All Gamers36c557.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.1819847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Trace Esports30c543.29$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.621,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Trace Esports14c539.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1114351%73 W · 70 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked All Gamers57c526.58$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.586355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Trace Esports36c523.01$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.891,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed All Gamers71c504.98$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.918460.9%112 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Trace Esports63c499.95$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.973666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Trace Esports33c455.71$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3918444.6%82 W · 102 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed All Gamers64c446.09$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.83785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+65.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Trace Esports32c444.24$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.168144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked All Gamers68c434.41$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.011931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe430…b09fbacked All Gamers37c421.24$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Trace Esports29c414.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.34714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Trace Esports63c399.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9919951.8%103 W · 96 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed Trace Esports60c399.83$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1615160.3%91 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked All Gamers61c394.45$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8434247.7%163 W · 179 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Trace Esports39c390$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2715833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed All Gamers66c388.7$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4854542.2%230 W · 315 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1602…fbb0backed All Gamers52c385.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.12250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Trace Esports14c366$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2466638%253 W · 413 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed All Gamers73c354.56$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1681834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8e…37d1backed All Gamers48c353.81$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.813033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed All Gamers67c347.9$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8146746.7%218 W · 249 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed All Gamers63c347.57$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9428352.3%148 W · 135 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed All Gamers66c341$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.942133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7fd…3193backed All Gamers74c331.1$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Trace Esports30c318.94$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1144441.9%186 W · 258 L-22.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Trace Esports32c312.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.273357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Trace Esports32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013243.2%57 W · 75 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5848…56a1backed Trace Esports32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Trace Esports32c303.53$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8915137.7%57 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…ec96backed All Gamers75c297.14$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a9…9bf7backed Trace Esports33c290.79$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.961827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b62…9035backed All Gamers69c283.67$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Trace Esports41c280$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4263056.3%355 W · 275 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Trace Esports28c280$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.915334.6%53 W · 100 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed Trace Esports18c278.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed All Gamers56c272.38$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5515358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed Trace Esports34c272.32$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5919134.6%66 W · 125 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe702…d88cbacked Trace Esports21c270.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.664843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed All Gamers37c270$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.136446.2%168 W · 196 L+24.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x461b…38ffbacked All Gamers44c268.49$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.494864.6%31 W · 17 L+8.9wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Trace Esports37c266.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9915232.9%50 W · 102 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed All Gamers68c261.35$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6313661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.