TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ed8…2c70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13261.4%81 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.74
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.45
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.28
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$22.14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+95%+$37.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$25.34
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.78
Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.74
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$135.33
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.31
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked FOKUS Sakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$90.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.67
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$132.25
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$34.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.