Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7376b6e76382e30dfe1249187d4f62bcf38b67bb37aa9d2d5dd16f0749bef66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 52c | 5,050$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.67 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 818.61$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.49 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Under | 47c | 594$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 48c | 357.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 47c | 326.79$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed Over | 50c | 264.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.25 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 264.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 47c | 165.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 47c | 119.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 47c | 109.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…776fbacked Over | 63c | 97.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Under | 37c | 94.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…62e6backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5)2GAME Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports - Map 1 Winner2GAME Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.