TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
2GAME Esportsof FURIA Esports, 2GAME Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a21…9853backed FURIA Esports68c6,241$4,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,255.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed FURIA Esports51c3,292$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.15356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed 2GAME Esports36c2,786$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.0913355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed 2GAME Esports50c2,569$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.266746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed 2GAME Esports55c1,997$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.655955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked 2GAME Esports46c1,796$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.7328143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA Esports63c1,778$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.2894361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed 2GAME Esports48c1,774$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.425554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports49c1,701$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.1593148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed 2GAME Esports22c1,315$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.3532245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports61c1,165$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.0353159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 2GAME Esports62c1,070$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.2378562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed FURIA Esports54c986.32$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.6226447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked 2GAME Esports80c882.5$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3750944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed FURIA Esports49c816.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed FURIA Esports23c766.46$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6460022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 2GAME Esports46c712.98$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.141,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 2GAME Esports37c686.97$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.291,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed 2GAME Esports42c646$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FURIA Esports35c558.59$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.544342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked FURIA Esports56c521$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.6628747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3f…67f1backed FURIA Esports2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked 2GAME Esports55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2258848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed FURIA Esports67c457.11$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.12850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed FURIA Esports55c451$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.967156.3%40 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed 2GAME Esports50c442.6$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.333346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4af…6a1abacked FURIA Esports52c438.35$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed FURIA Esports51c395.83$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.695143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed FURIA Esports50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1943956.4%22 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked 2GAME Esports39c370$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.711044.5%49 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a97…7a1bbacked 2GAME Esports45c361.49$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.482871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed FURIA Esports55c355.34$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4463955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed 2GAME Esports49c334.65$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8539646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x461b…38ffbacked 2GAME Esports46c328.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.094864.6%31 W · 17 L+8.9wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 2GAME Esports48c326.48$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed 2GAME Esports28c325$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4114252.1%74 W · 68 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FURIA Esports67c307.67$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.021,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed FURIA Esports72c292.23$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4311246.4%52 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe896…a4c7backed 2GAME Esports70c286.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.685650%28 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x859d…1861backed FURIA Esports34c275.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+74.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA Esports33c249.04$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7325336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 2GAME Esports34c238.22$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed 2GAME Esports41c236.69$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7718735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FURIA Esports48c212.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.741,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed 2GAME Esports45c212$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2519439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports51c211.84$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.681,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked 2GAME Esports50c207.74$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.875653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 2GAME Esports46c194.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.841,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked FURIA Esports74c190$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.61573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed 2GAME Esports22c170$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.64042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e8…f707backed FURIA Esports51c158.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb23e…829abacked 2GAME Esports78c139.89$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.781250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed FURIA Esports39c127.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf08e…1256backed 2GAME Esports54c127$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.92347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed FURIA Esports48c125.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0213449.3%66 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed FURIA Esports67c125.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.616456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked FURIA Esports53c118.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5926450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked FURIA Esports52c112.84$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1631227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x09b7…5f6bbacked 2GAME Esports49c105.97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7910061%61 W · 39 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed FURIA Esports44c105$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.257853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked 2GAME Esports67c104.7$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75048%24 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked FURIA Esports64c102.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked 2GAME Esports50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5021144.1%93 W · 118 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked 2GAME Esports44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5619751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed FURIA Esports49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FURIA Esports59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5938950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FURIA Esports27c98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6599846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked 2GAME Esports26c95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.33828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked FURIA Esports36c89.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7916839.3%66 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed 2GAME Esports48c89.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2514852.7%78 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 2GAME Esports33c86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2855637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed 2GAME Esports34c85.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7465347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f9…3b9cbacked FURIA Esports77c84.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked FURIA Esports49c84.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3922440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA Esports14c83.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 2GAME Esports29c73.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3369722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked 2GAME Esports50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3510942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb185…98cdbacked FURIA Esports36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52536%9 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed FURIA Esports51c68.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked FURIA Esports59c67.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.834845.8%22 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4c0…70babacked FURIA Esports69c65.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1aa…d5cdbacked FURIA Esports66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.81553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed 2GAME Esports30c55.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6156551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 2GAME Esports51c55.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.351749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4f8…436cbacked FURIA Esports62c55.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.222176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed FURIA Esports65c55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked FURIA Esports39c54.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2551948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FURIA Esports48c53.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6990733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked FURIA Esports55c51.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e99…2229backed FURIA Esports56c50.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.695959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed FURIA Esports74c44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.563548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x736e…92babacked FURIA Esports32c43.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.885030%15 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked FURIA Esports62c42.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412862.5%80 W · 48 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0975…0899backed FURIA Esports25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba29…cb83backed 2GAME Esports78c36.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x026d…8fecbacked 2GAME Esports45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.331747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x816f…5e5dbacked 2GAME Esports42c32.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.98837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked 2GAME Esports72c30.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.645865.5%38 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed FURIA Esports50c28.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1511770.9%83 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked FURIA Esports75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.