TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Legacy, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,008,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,062,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,008,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons70c211,490$148,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,042.7525355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Legacy30c150,836$45,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,690.6213548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Legacy30c33,333$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,333.076152.5%32 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Legacy30c30,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,0003046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Legacy35c26,755$9,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,380.091,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Legacy30c26,727$8,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,584.9824038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Team Falcons45c24,764$11,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,203.1775245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Legacy30c24,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,799.9460853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Legacy30c23,634$7,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,543.941649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Team Falcons70c21,429$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00022354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89a6…429abacked Legacy41c20,488$8,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,169.481861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons68c15,058$10,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,239.751,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Team Falcons69c14,000$9,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,629.525655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Legacy30c12,500$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,75014145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0385…acafbacked Legacy50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons70c9,999$6,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.132,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Legacy54c9,287$5,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,269.3187047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…b04cbacked Team Falcons70c8,339$5,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,837.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Falcons70c7,570$5,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,292.7129046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Legacy30c7,112$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,978.4622129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed Team Falcons71c7,000$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9703250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Falcons70c6,566$4,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,596.217062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons56c5,857$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.571,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Falcons70c5,281$3,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,696.7346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Legacy30c4,950$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,464.5527740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons63c4,944$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.932348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked Legacy30c4,737$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,315.685451.9%28 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Legacy58c4,357$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.6888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed Team Falcons70c4,221$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,954.698246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Team Falcons70c4,166$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.24257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons59c4,070$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.092,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked Legacy29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.9711650%58 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Falcons68c3,680$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.452,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Legacy31c3,654$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.4316946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Legacy30c3,570$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.852,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed Team Falcons69c3,503$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.046560%39 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Legacy30c3,489$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.9655039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Team Falcons70c3,483$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.1757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Legacy30c3,482$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.097943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Team Falcons29c3,375$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.2616142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c03…8e6ebacked Legacy31c3,333$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf006…4d60backed Legacy31c3,226$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.81944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Falcons69c3,115$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.4614934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9e…ba88backed Team Falcons54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6201127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Team Falcons70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1006546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Legacy28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16028843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9973…bd7fbacked Legacy29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.971127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1af1…8bd4backed Team Falcons72c2,960$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.565143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons70c2,803$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.0925248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Legacy38c2,780$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.0924943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy60c2,548$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.841,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons22c2,400$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52457322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons48c2,400$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.1740253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Team Falcons71c2,394$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9912055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Legacy31c2,258$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.0614147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Legacy53c2,216$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy66c2,208$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.031,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Team Falcons63c2,009$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.4442154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Legacy30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40037145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Legacy30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.992740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Legacy42c1,952$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.0535847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Legacy23c1,943$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.7849941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Team Falcons59c1,921$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.5919236.5%70 W · 122 L-15.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed Team Falcons71c1,908$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.6227961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Legacy66c1,901$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.221,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Team Falcons56c1,809$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.5738454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Legacy43c1,722$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.584,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Legacy30c1,700$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Legacy30c1,667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.961034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Legacy38c1,632$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.5818837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c76…c163backed Legacy31c1,585$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.331145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Falcons15c1,571$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.351,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Legacy31c1,551$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.7610036%36 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Team Falcons72c1,528$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10013065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Legacy33c1,521$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.417737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked Team Falcons59c1,514$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.323938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed Legacy30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05011341.6%47 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…dd56backed Legacy31c1,459$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.613956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed Legacy43c1,431$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.427247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Legacy65c1,425$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.733056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…cd68backed Team Falcons70c1,414$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Legacy48c1,410$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.2115646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Legacy36c1,403$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.2669445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Falcons54c1,385$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.363,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Legacy58c1,316$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.1321143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Team Falcons50c1,298$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.9619061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Legacy28c1,200$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86030726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Team Falcons55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9775245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons46c1,198$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.753,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Legacy45c1,193$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.2740137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons50c1,134$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.095,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed Legacy28c1,061$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.618045%36 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed Team Falcons63c1,047$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.3719468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Team Falcons69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6901,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Legacy31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+95.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed Team Falcons62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62010150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Legacy25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75016949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27e4…4803backed Team Falcons57c999.78$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.973754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Team Falcons70c976.44$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.5125845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Team Falcons77c974.53$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.343063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.