CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99d189350087bb03d5697dcb4e1b8b4fbb3865f15c4e552b3e045101829a9408
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Over | 44c | 1,359$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 56c | 1,224$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.56 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Under | 58c | 863.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.28 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…8bc9backed Over | 52c | 810$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 56c | 700.29$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.66 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 57c | 640$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.39 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 30c | 599.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 43c | 515.42$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.52 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 42c | 333.47$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…da90backed Under | 57c | 330$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 327.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…8189backed Under | 63c | 317.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 29c | 317.53$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 43c | 306.52$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 48c | 292.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.81 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 56c | 233.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 206.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b28…bf9fbacked Under | 28c | 198.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 63c | 194.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 67c | 191$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…ba88backed Over | 44c | 184.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Over | 70c | 101.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 53c | 97.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 44c | 97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…c02bbacked Under | 65c | 74.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6c…61dbbacked Under | 59c | 55.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…ec1bbacked Over | 45c | 54.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 67c | 53.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 44c | 51.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed Over | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a16…6d55backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 52c | 44.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 54c | 32.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…de68backed Over | 66c | 30.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 63c | 25.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Over | 70c | 25.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7846…23acbacked Over | 79c | 24.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 57c | 23.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c7…e0f6backed Over | 43c | 23.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 52c | 22.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Legacy won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Legacy won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.