TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96f7…d6ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
395
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT22129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 221 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,084.01
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.57
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$849.3
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$4,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,067.73
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.82
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,787.22
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,995.61
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$6,277Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+325.5%+$20,429.57
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,221.49
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.78
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$259.09
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,599.84
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$4,978.46
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,333.09
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,704.09
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,163.53
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.83
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,333
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,885Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$2,033.94
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,789.13
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.66
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,098.53
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,624.17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+219%+$1,998.57
Showing 25 of 221 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT8339.8%33 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,386.44
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,883.13
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$543.9
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$646.84
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+288.1%+$500.32
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,911Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$2,537.23
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$853.51
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.68
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,177.66
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,758.54
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$71.94
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,555Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$2,888.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,055.34
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+144%+$1,311.42
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.16
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.21
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+517.9%+$3,388.79
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,636.38
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,644.25
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$1,839.69
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,217.17
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$838.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,644Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$577.72
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,784.2
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT7346.6%34 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: France O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,912Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,469.51
France vs. England: France O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$7,111.04
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.11
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,212.03
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.89
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,816.49
France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,944.25
France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.21
Norway vs. England: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,444Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,666.59
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,296.62
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,513Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$3,984.55
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,742.52
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,115.32
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,333.05
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,466.32
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,778Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$8,132.56
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,169.73
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,233.11
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,598Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,953.22
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$6,174.45
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.33
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$914.27
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+387.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+387.7%+$16,253.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$682.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$517.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$876.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,722Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,722.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.