United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcddfe379cf77fb71c126edc77559200b0393dce238cedce635ce9edc61207310

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,843 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	54c	12,031$6,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,506.74	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Under	45c	4,701$2,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,115.32	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+24%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	46c	3,956$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,824.71	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	49c	1,960$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$991.46	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Under	47c	1,706$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.65	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	64c	1,207$773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.08	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over	53c	1,178$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.41	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	32c	1,150$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.35	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under	50c	999.99$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.52	331	54.4%180 W · 151 L	+25.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under	45c	999.99$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	50c	999.99$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under	47c	989.98$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.09	141	34.8%49 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over	57c	973.96$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.94	201	49.3%99 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	51c	890.08$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.8	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under	47c	479.8$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Over	51c	467.99$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.32	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under	47c	425$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.75	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	34c	423.19$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.32	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	11c	416$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.76	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over	54c	400$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	85	50.6%43 W · 42 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	47c	390$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.3	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	46c	371.01$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.25	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over	50c	350$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	48c	330.01$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.8	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	46c	299.99$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.03	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	32c	280.45$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.82	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Over	76c	264.5$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.5	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	48c	259.99$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.79	170	52.9%90 W · 80 L	+13.0wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	49c	206.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over	52c	169.23$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.23	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	47c	166.4$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.21	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed Over	52c	152.04$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.98	58	67.2%39 W · 19 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	29c	104.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.03	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecb…87ddbacked Over	55c	101.82$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.82	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	119	39.5%47 W · 72 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Over	52c	99.99$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.99	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	12c	99.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c03…e334backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+4.6wins	+0.15per pick	30cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under	47c	88.47$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.58	364	48.6%177 W · 187 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Over	50c	81$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under	60c	78.5$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.1	166	47%78 W · 88 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	48c	74.58$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.8	374	58.8%220 W · 154 L	+18.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	29c	72.58$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xcc4b…0da9backed Over	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb896…f19fbacked Over	76c	65.98$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.98	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	52c	65.86$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce74…e6ecbacked Over	54c	64.81$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.81	280	55%154 W · 126 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under	25c	64.02$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+6.4wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77fc…432bbacked Over	52c	54.08$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.96	249	55.4%138 W · 111 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Over	73c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	210	58.1%122 W · 88 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5057…d8a4backed Over	79c	48.19$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6511…5f44backed Over	73c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58cf…6b6fbacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	85	62.4%53 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed Under	48c	37.66$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.93	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under	48c	35.87$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.22	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over	50c	35.52$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.76	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over	55c	34.87$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.69	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcb…2941backed Over	56c	34.59$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.22	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c3…120dbacked Over	56c	33.52$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	48c	31.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.19	149	55%82 W · 67 L	+13.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	38c	29.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	637	45.4%289 W · 348 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1a…be4fbacked Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa0…15d0backed Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Under	51c	23.81$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2d…faeebacked Over	51c	21.33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.38	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.23per pick	46cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb732…81d1backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	129	48.8%63 W · 66 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over	72c	18.59$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.22	215	65.1%140 W · 75 L	+16.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
United States vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event