TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Take First Corner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Belgiumof United States, Belgium
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,329 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed United States55c223.79$123 inLost-$122.868,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed United States52c168.94$88 inLost-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a01…6cffbacked Belgium45c111.11$50 inWon+$61.116338.1%24 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b02…083abacked Belgium48c104.17$50 inWon+$54.176225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Belgium48c96.15$46 inWon+$5041231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…8f82backed United States52c96.15$50 inLost-$504327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Belgium46c81.94$38 inWon+$44.391,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Belgium44c45.99$20 inWon+$25.7523741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b8…19e4backed United States56c44.64$25 inLost-$258860.2%53 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Belgium47c36.47$17 inWon+$19.33875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd8d…d10cbacked United States56c35.71$20 inLost-$203151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…e028backed United States40c33.33$13 inLost-$13.337335.6%26 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d4…3cbebacked Belgium60c33.33$20 inWon+$13.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked United States50c32.65$16 inLost-$16.3319251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93cf…c08abacked Belgium48c28.19$14 inWon+$14.669152.7%48 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed United States54c22.38$12 inLost-$123740.5%15 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked United States50c22$11 inLost-$1114745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03e2…484dbacked Belgium50c20$10 inWon+$103844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bf…8ecebacked United States52c20$10 inLost-$10.45550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x295e…33d4backed Belgium50c20$10 inWon+$104665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed United States52c19.42$10 inLost-$10.15632.1%18 W · 38 L-9.8wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.