United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73400e6f1257f1db40d8d73d08ce1d272c5eff231487e3c8efbda58daa5d5b1a

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,311 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over	59c	4,769$2,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,797.7	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked Under	41c	3,000$1,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,769.98	162	60.5%98 W · 64 L	+22.3wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+29%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	56c	2,726$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,540.04	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under	45c	2,017$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,109.18	291	54%157 W · 134 L	+21.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98ce…d417backed Under	41c	1,401$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	54c	1,144$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.36	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682b…59d8backed Over	59c	1,000$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under	41c	956.81$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.52	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under	44c	929.92$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.76	331	54.4%180 W · 151 L	+25.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under	45c	899.52$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.74	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	41c	832.18$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.81	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Over	60c	751.97$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.18	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce7c…17cfbacked Under	43c	606.83$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.39	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under	37c	548.21$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.37	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	43c	499.98$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.99	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over	59c	489$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.51	144	40.3%58 W · 86 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under	39c	483.25$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.77	165	46.1%76 W · 89 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	44c	417.78$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.14	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under	41c	406.95$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.1	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under	41c	373.17$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.17	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	33c	372.96$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.06	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over	59c	372$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.48	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under	40c	333.29$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.97	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd3…0591backed Over	61c	327.87$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	56c	300$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.78	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	41c	260$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.4	170	52.9%90 W · 80 L	+13.0wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Over	59c	254.73$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	200	25.5%51 W · 149 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Over	56c	250$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Over	57c	250$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	284	39.1%111 W · 173 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Over	44c	249.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	41c	240.05$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.63	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	44c	229.8$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.8	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over	58c	227.46$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.99	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over	58c	200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	119	39.5%47 W · 72 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	68c	189.21$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.28	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Under	56c	178.74$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.74	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over	60c	168$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	562	40.6%228 W · 334 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecd3…8289backed Over	63c	158.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	64cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0345…8b5fbacked Over	35c	139.82$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.94	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	25c	122.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.39	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	59c	111.96$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.03	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under	55c	108.11$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.11	239	43.5%104 W · 135 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa9…58eebacked Under	41c	87.78$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.79	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa089…02a1backed Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	43c	87.72$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66d5…87f4backed Over	35c	85.09$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	151	38.4%58 W · 93 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under	45c	80.7$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.67	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over	23c	77.93$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.91	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	41c	75$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.25	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x235f…9225backed Over	38c	74.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf6a0…4321backed Over	56c	71.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	27	63%17 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	+5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	75c	64.29$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.02	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under	43c	60$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	559	42.4%237 W · 322 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb02…c292backed Over	58c	60$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc1e…f4edbacked Over	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b50…c5f9backed Over	59c	50.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	66	53%35 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b7…e2b5backed Under	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Over	56c	45.55$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.51	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under	70c	42.9$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.69	198	62.1%123 W · 75 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	57c	37.4$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.23	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over	59c	37.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58cf…6b6fbacked Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	62.4%53 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…76babacked Over	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x449f…c970backed Under	66c	30.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.45	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under	43c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	172	71.5%123 W · 49 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over	45c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	176	25%44 W · 132 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1a…be4fbacked Over	60c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over	54c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.34	177	60.5%107 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1314…974fbacked Over	59c	22.03$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	63cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9447…c171backed Over	59c	20.34$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	282	51.4%145 W · 137 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
United States vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event