Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b8ea90cf0d86d8a3a641efb439d1a3f6c1af037a1dbd35d5479d92287597e2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Under | 65c | 727.31$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.31 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 325.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Over | 38c | 308.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 63c | 302.11$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…d9f9backed Over | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…7ca4backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 62c | 196.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 62c | 163.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fda…b819backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Over | 33c | 119.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 32c | 104.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 33c | 88.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 16c | 82.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 77.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 60c | 44.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Under | 62c | 40.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…7ff7backed Over | 38c | 40.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 62c | 38.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb80…082fbacked Over | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c0…a38cbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.