Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdad40b5ac344b3fc2282fe0974ff0439d8cf66ab3f989e5ebfd9ec956675ca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 2,129$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.98 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Over | 49c | 1,996$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Over | 57c | 1,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 49c | 1,598$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.38 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 51c | 1,132$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.17 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 43c | 1,115$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.39 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over | 48c | 1,026$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.32 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,010$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 49c | 982.27$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.31 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 50c | 890.92$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.46 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Over | 51c | 889$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.39 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 804.92$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.41 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…fdd4backed Under | 50c | 707.38$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.69 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 506.16$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.9 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Over | 51c | 452$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.52 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 44c | 450.71$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.58 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Over | 52c | 301.82$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Over | 53c | 292.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 290$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 290$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 290$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…b2bbbacked Under | 47c | 282.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +164%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 47c | 279.76$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 55c | 263.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 42c | 212.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Under | 50c | 195.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 131.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…248ebacked Over | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 10c | 113.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed Under | 45c | 104.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…e334backed Under | 48c | 103.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 48c | 98.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3b28…7f1bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 56c | 89.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 35c | 76.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 49c | 70.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…2916backed Under | 77c | 65.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…1179backed Over | 51c | 57.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…28debacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 55c | 54.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Over | 52c | 52.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…e7f3backed Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 49c | 37.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 51c | 35.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 34.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Under | 49c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…45babacked Over | 55c | 22.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…62d0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 67c | 18.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.