Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7d19313dca6d3290c0c27b713c79d67040b7bb9bf0fe4e2ebe25ac9fac7a00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 11c | 4,102$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.02 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 12c | 3,679$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.65 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 16c | 2,313$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.75 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 10c | 2,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 15c | 1,976$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.47 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 10c | 1,781$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Under | 9c | 1,152$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 10c | 1,089$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 2c | 1,083$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 11c | 781.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Under | 9c | 498.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 18c | 493.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 17c | 442.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…91cebacked Under | 25c | 440.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…da36backed Under | 16c | 395.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…0074backed Under | 25c | 392.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 5c | 300.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 12c | 245.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 13c | 238.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 18c | 234$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…b6acbacked Under | 11c | 223.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 17c | 222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Under | 7c | 213.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 80c | 210.17$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 18c | 199.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…3ecfbacked Under | 30c | 166.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 30.2%49 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 30c | 125.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbd…651cbacked Under | 22c | 111.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 12c | 100.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c0…0974backed Under | 16c | 96.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under | 16c | 96.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…fdd4backed Under | 16c | 87.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Under | 16c | 87.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Under | 16c | 87.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Under | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 18c | 86.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 18c | 65.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 75c | 63.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 20c | 61.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 74c | 52.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 24c | 43.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Over | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…ba5abacked Over | 77c | 38.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…1200backed Over | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Over | 72c | 24.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.