TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Evenof Odd, Even
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,848 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad77…61e8backed Odd51c7,929$4,044 inLost-$4,043.584946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Even49c4,372$2,142 inWon+$2,229.891,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Even49c3,263$1,599 inWon+$1,664.0913151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Odd51c1,058$536 inLost-$536.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Even49c1,000$490 inWon+$51064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Even49c300$147 inWon+$1532,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Odd20c250$50 inLost-$5040163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc0bd…4fe0backed Even51c156.86$80 inWon+$76.865957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe597…4e73backed Odd51c98.04$50 inLost-$507759.7%46 W · 31 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca68…7d91backed Odd51c62.75$32 inLost-$3230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Odd46c53.91$25 inLost-$24.82,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8563…5e98backed Even80c50$40 inWon+$10.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3112…3fcdbacked Even80c50$40 inWon+$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68af…736dbacked Even80c50$40 inWon+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked Even45c35.29$16 inWon+$19.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x377a…7dc7backed Even79c19.41$15 inWon+$4.0811100%11 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Even80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.51,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.