Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7799d86747f75a3e517eebc3bd99220761c8af97ed343755cbbe32df52c4e327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 7,363$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.87 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 54c | 4,248$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.63 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Under | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…d417backed Under | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…55b5backed Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 57c | 582.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.6 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Over | 45c | 565$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 53c | 499.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 456.16$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Over | 45c | 456$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…a2cdbacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 65c | 390$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 56c | 387.81$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.19 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 56c | 356.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.29 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 41c | 349.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…8f82backed Over | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Over | 30c | 302.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 44c | 296.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Over | 18c | 236.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 226.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 55c | 128.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2d…bfcbbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 114.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 59c | 92.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…8ac8backed Under | 61c | 82.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 42c | 77.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 74.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…e2b5backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 62.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 56c | 46.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…d350backed Over | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…03e7backed Over | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 44c | 29.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 54c | 28.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 63c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.