Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5106af520225e132b214d1c4f4d895dd10c04391bddab88f451b3d23ead2d59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 4c | 4,995$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 65c | 2,768$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.66 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 37c | 1,811$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.58 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…f9d9backed Under | 29c | 1,715$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 36c | 1,367$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.89 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 27c | 999.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Over | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 63c | 520.63$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.63 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Over | 19c | 451.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.37 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 408.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 57c | 290.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…65ccbacked Over | 72c | 276.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 18c | 266.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Under | 34c | 266.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…9610backed Over | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 35c | 176.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Under | 27c | 174.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…79e1backed Over | 66c | 159.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…9faebacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 32c | 141.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…5922backed Under | 27c | 140.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…ffe3backed Over | 65c | 138.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Over | 66c | 120.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 32c | 116.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Over | 71c | 108.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Under | 34c | 108.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 17c | 104.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…e334backed Under | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…9772backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 36c | 99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb896…f19fbacked Over | 73c | 74.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…6b6fbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ef…c362backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…24aabacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74a…25a2backed Under | 29c | 66.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 27c | 61.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Under | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 58.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 69c | 57.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…84f1backed Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96d…6af2backed Over | 71c | 55.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Over | 71c | 49.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 35c | 48.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ce…195ebacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 79c | 41.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…2516backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…3621backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…c5f9backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…483abacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…5977backed Over | 68c | 19.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.