Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa988710609c4d6108940155e19553a255dd0ac994c96e50ff70084cf1ac8c513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Under | 65c | 3,054$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.16 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 34c | 1,744$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.93 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 1,033$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.16 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 36c | 749.57$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 37c | 446.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…d9f9backed Over | 34c | 239.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 62c | 206.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…b7e6backed Under | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Over | 35c | 167.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…0f96backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…9db2backed Over | 35c | 135.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 64c | 109.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 65c | 102.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Under | 63c | 79.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Over | 35c | 78.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a881backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Under | 66c | 72.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 62c | 70.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…58eebacked Under | 64c | 59.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 36c | 59.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 62c | 58.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Over | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 35c | 43.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…4817backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 258 | 41.1%106 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 31c | 40.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…ef00backed Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c0…a38cbacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.