TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,838 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf348…e543backed Over46c1,327$612 inLost-$611.840163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Under35c1,021$360 inWon+$661.15651.8%29 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over60c1,000$600 inLost-$60042332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Under52c936.41$485 inWon+$451.647554.7%41 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c751.76$472 inLost-$472.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under40c600$240 inWon+$36070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under39c555.41$215 inWon+$339.981,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa936…5d19backed Under50c500.4$249 inWon+$251.44153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under5c369.91$18 inWon+$351.4121846.8%102 W · 116 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe56…093dbacked Over59c218.64$130 inLost-$1305056%28 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb896…f19fbacked Over66c135.44$89 inLost-$89.391163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over60c100$60 inLost-$6011939.5%47 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under39c99.55$39 inWon+$60.793,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ef…c362backed Over64c78.13$50 inLost-$503762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba1…88c1backed Over66c68.47$45 inLost-$45.1910252.9%54 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under40c60$24 inWon+$3655942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fbd…651cbacked Over66c45.55$30 inLost-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under58c32.76$19 inWon+$13.768955.1%49 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93cf…c08abacked Under41c32$13 inWon+$18.889152.7%48 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost-$2028850.3%145 W · 143 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Over60c20$12 inLost-$1212948.8%63 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…875abacked Over62c19.72$12 inLost-$12.213528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46e8…a63dbacked Over65c19.47$13 inLost-$12.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96d…6af2backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost-$102050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.