Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fdf2aa9989837c610352fd54e6b7957a3be058fa8f0f99d958ffd4b5e231aeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Under | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.94 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 76c | 2,988$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.25 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 24c | 1,900$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 1,424$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.81 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682b…59d8backed Over | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 23c | 893.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.8 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 703.46$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 75c | 520$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 26c | 510.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.13 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 50c | 406.24$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.12 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Over | 75c | 399$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 50c | 356$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 50c | 265.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 24c | 254$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…0acabacked Over | 75c | 186.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 74c | 177.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…3610backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 51c | 124.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0222…38b5backed Over | 75c | 104$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 45c | 95.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 77.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 26c | 64.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Under | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8563…5e98backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…3fcdbacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…218abacked Over | 76c | 40.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 28c | 40.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…c5f9backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 46c | 38.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 50c | 29.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 50c | 24.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9dcfbacked Over | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.