TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ca0…a4fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
243
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Boxing, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT8061.3%49 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$26.79
France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$22.3
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$10.05
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$7.26
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT5343.4%23 W · 30 L-7.7wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.26
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT5151%26 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+55%+$7.1
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+41.5%+$8.8
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.41
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.92
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$33.6
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$12.75
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Spread: 76ers (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33.97
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$62.07
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$26.4
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+77.2%+$21.34
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$21.2
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+348.4%+$77.7
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$39
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.44
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63%+$11.6
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+328.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+596.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs RED Canids (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$62.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.