NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf810dd5fc4560378d5eadac29e22bd5824f11b34e02ab5f9f1ffb9b7cafbe66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,926,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,977,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,926,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 955 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 79c | 278,059$219,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,358.8 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Celtics | 78c | 178,376$139,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,893.34 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Kings | 22c | 138,970$30,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,488.05 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 21c | 82,846$17,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,136.29 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Kings | 21c | 69,048$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500.16 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Kings | 19c | 68,389$12,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,820 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Kings | 25c | 53,858$13,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,392.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 22c | 46,593$10,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,055.47 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics | 76c | 39,168$29,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,443.65 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Celtics | 80c | 33,346$26,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.7 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Kings | 21c | 33,333$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.9 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…8e3ebacked Kings | 20c | 30,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Kings | 18c | 30,000$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.79 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 22c | 24,988$5,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,528.91 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kings | 19c | 23,252$4,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.75 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 75c | 22,685$17,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,593.29 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 20c | 22,151$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.24 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Celtics | 79c | 20,000$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Kings | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8679backed Kings | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Kings | 11c | 18,836$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.71 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c44…72bcbacked Kings | 21c | 15,700$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Celtics | 80c | 15,005$12,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Celtics | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Kings | 21c | 15,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 1c | 14,398$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 72c | 14,170$10,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kings | 26c | 12,519$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.93 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 20c | 12,498$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.42 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 20c | 12,468$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.6 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Kings | 22c | 12,273$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 32c | 12,225$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.58 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 22c | 11,881$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.73 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09dc…39b2backed Kings | 7c | 11,841$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 79c | 10,520$8,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.95 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Kings | 20c | 10,286$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.15 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 22c | 10,169$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.94 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Kings | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Kings | 27c | 9,377$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.31 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 22c | 8,435$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Kings | 20c | 8,300$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 20c | 8,216$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.07 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Celtics | 77c | 8,154$6,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.33 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…c877backed Kings | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 20c | 7,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Kings | 27c | 7,352$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Kings | 20c | 7,327$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.4 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Kings | 21c | 7,280$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Celtics | 77c | 7,225$5,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.74 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Celtics | 79c | 7,100$5,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…87ccbacked Kings | 23c | 7,000$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Kings | 22c | 6,520$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.68 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kings | 26c | 6,411$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.4 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 22c | 6,100$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Celtics | 74c | 6,045$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.68 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Kings | 22c | 6,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.97 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 70c | 5,987$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.3 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Celtics | 77c | 5,753$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.26 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Kings | 22c | 5,500$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Kings | 21c | 5,370$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.71 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Celtics | 70c | 5,237$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.09 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kings | 27c | 5,179$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.63 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Celtics | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Celtics | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Celtics | 78c | 4,982$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.04 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 1c | 4,888$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kings | 20c | 4,824$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.4 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed Celtics | 78c | 4,688$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.65 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Celtics | 78c | 4,363$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.94 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Celtics | 78c | 4,350$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Kings | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Kings | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 74c | 4,002$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.35 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Kings | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Kings | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Celtics | 79c | 3,800$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.1 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Celtics | 77c | 3,777$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.62 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Kings | 20c | 3,770$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.46 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…6f4ebacked Kings | 23c | 3,700$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…551bbacked Celtics | 72c | 3,581$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 22c | 3,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.96 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 77c | 3,442$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.7 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Celtics | 76c | 3,384$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.91 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics | 78c | 3,373$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.85 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Kings | 1c | 3,312$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…bf5cbacked Celtics | 71c | 3,269$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.41 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 26c | 3,217$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 20c | 3,148$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.61 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 27c | 3,128$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Celtics | 76c | 3,059$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.13 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…7807backed Kings | 24c | 3,033$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Kings | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Celtics | 76c | 3,000$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.76 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Kings | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 20c | 2,994$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.8 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…f773backed Kings | 23c | 2,985$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.55 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Kings | 20c | 2,950$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Kings | 29c | 2,856$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.53 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Celtics | 79c | 2,606$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Kingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Kings won
- Celtics vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.