TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Under47c63,000$29,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,389.9917031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over53c57,708$30,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,585.351,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over54c6,747$3,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,671.3750%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under46c3,868$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.842,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over59c3,774$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.4150347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over54c3,463$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.993,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c3,096$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.081,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62095651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c2,698$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fd…9d53backed Over1c2,616$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Over3c2,600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over51c2,561$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under64c2,449$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.842,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07141652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Over4c2,100$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85437%3 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c2,071$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under46c1,720$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.835450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over54c1,720$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.849938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over11c1,363$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9339018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Over9c1,200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.999515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over55c1,095$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under47c899.98$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.492,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c858$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.722,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under25c811.13$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.261,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under44c652$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.121,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Under44c620.45$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4513040%52 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over58c612.01$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.517550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Over5c600$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278511.8%10 W · 75 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Over4c561$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0413228.8%38 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Over53c543.46$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.0411060%66 W · 44 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Over77c519.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…fe28backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2653551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Over55c496.36$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27313959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0424…95ddbacked Over55c454$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.73253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Over67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26827161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c366.28$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.442,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over55c315.89$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7413354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Over55c303.71$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0411047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Under46c298.67$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.286953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over54c215.44$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.342,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8315…1126backed Under48c208.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf985…b227backed Over58c207.27$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.63240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over51c205.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10522347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under47c204.88$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.941,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c194$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over59c193.36$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2331144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under11c171.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3930616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c156.23$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Over54c147.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7810167.3%68 W · 33 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Over60c144.81$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.217851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c144$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over74c135.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under75c134.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1227144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Under47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6611440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over54c127.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7367252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over54c122.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6616261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa57…1e6bbacked Under50c104$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over59c100.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.431,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked Under36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649943.4%43 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…0b8dbacked Over75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4947738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8363427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d55…3ea8backed Under47c94.6$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.145437%20 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under38c93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.081,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.112,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under44c80.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.371,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c80.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.144648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under16c64.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Over69c58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0214137.6%53 W · 88 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4061253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019543.1%84 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7cbc…5196backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010337.9%39 W · 64 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x496e…8abdbacked Under35c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under48c31.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2993849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under47c27.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6512648.4%61 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…e09ebacked Under47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…af09backed Over54c23.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over55c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.150648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129652.7%156 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d9…5136backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2be1…debdbacked Over59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5acc…89e0backed Over55c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.454566.7%30 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Over59c17.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.124231%13 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over80c14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.237949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over80c12.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2516447.6%78 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Over80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105578.2%43 W · 12 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.