NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb735bcbfe9b1758113568fd6fcc53f4b4928d22ef05b235b0f78ca121484d357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $452,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Celtics | 54c | 235,656$126,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,552.48 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 47c | 160,414$75,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,420.29 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Celtics | 52c | 47,671$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,670.84 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 46c | 42,900$19,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,946 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Kings | 49c | 26,889$13,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,175.44 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 47c | 21,683$10,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,130.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 45c | 20,260$9,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,218.1 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kings | 47c | 13,682$6,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,430.37 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 51c | 10,015$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.5 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 47c | 9,194$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,362.12 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…844ebacked Kings | 50c | 8,874$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 47c | 6,500$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 51c | 5,450$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.59 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Celtics | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Celtics | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kings | 63c | 4,500$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.52 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Kings | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.18 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 51c | 3,096$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Kings | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Celtics | 45c | 2,690$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.14 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 47c | 2,493$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.33 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Celtics | 51c | 2,458$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.18 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Celtics | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Kings | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Celtics | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.5 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Celtics | 51c | 1,995$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.55 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 46c | 1,834$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 47c | 1,763$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.33 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Celtics | 60c | 1,741$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.55 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Kings | 50c | 1,668$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 52c | 1,663$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.67 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 38c | 1,467$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Kings | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 51c | 1,362$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.38 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 38c | 1,215$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.21 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Kings | 47c | 1,201$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.5 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Celtics | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Kings | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Kings | 60c | 1,001$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 47c | 877$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.19 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Kings | 47c | 817.02$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 48c | 752$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.69 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Kings | 40c | 680.03$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 49c | 669.15$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.26 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Celtics | 50c | 611.11$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.11 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Kings | 59c | 581$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.79 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d13…3acebacked Kings | 58c | 577.5$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…fe28backed Kings | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Celtics | 45c | 462.27$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.47 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Kings | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Kings | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Kings | 47c | 376.6$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Kings | 74c | 356.9$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.6 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Kings | 59c | 323.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Celtics | 75c | 320.75$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Kings | 46c | 320$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kings | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Kings | 49c | 293.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 47c | 213.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Kings | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kings | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Kings | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kings | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd440…a32ebacked Celtics | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Celtics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Celtics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Celtics | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Celtics | 51c | 191.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Celtics | 42c | 186.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Celtics | 52c | 184.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Celtics | 45c | 172.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 47c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Kings | 50c | 159.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Celtics | 51c | 151$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Kings | 49c | 151$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…811ebacked Celtics | 33c | 149.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Kings | 80c | 140$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Kings | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Celtics | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Celtics | 52c | 135.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Celtics | 40c | 132$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Kings | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Celtics | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…265ebacked Celtics | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Celtics | 66c | 115$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Celtics | 63c | 110.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Kings | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Kings | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Celtics | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kings | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Kings won
- Celtics vs. KingsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.