TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cf0…8b2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.8
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.92
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.61
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$37.89
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,559.97
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,913Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$810.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$409.99
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,980
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,019.98
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$742.41
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,713Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,397.85
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,021.86
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$670
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$667.06
Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.32
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.88
Spread: Kings (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,001.43
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000.32
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,827Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$7,929.12
Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,582Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$3,918.82
Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$551.08
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$7,686.63
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Cincinnati Open: Valentin Royer vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Astana: Jie Cui vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$65.21
Plovdiv 2: Yannick Alexandrescou vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Yannick Alexandrescou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhardbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Yue Yuanbacked Elizara Yaneva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yanevabacked Linda Klimovicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.74
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,388Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$1,607.91
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debrubacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Waltonbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$300
Bonn: Guy Den Ouden vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.17
Liberec: Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$165.9
Samsun: Denis Yevseyev vs Tuncay Duranbacked Denis Yevseyev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.91
Targu Mures: Caijsa Hennemann vs Mia Pohankovabacked Caijsa Hennemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$700.02
Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Taggerbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,050
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$90.24
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$80.99
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.99
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,176.22
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,517Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+193.1%+$2,928.39
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.07
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,461
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.99
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.99
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$218.97
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$827.28
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$780
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,470.56
All 17 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,411Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$3,327.34
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,319.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$321.1
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+30%+$157.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$730.98
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$504.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$23.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.