TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,331 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under43c125,232$53,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,758.0517557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over57c108,368$61,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,598.127753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under43c48,872$21,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,015.028146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over57c22,075$12,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,492.2521253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c21,885$11,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,749.896,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over57c17,614$10,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,488.321,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c12,556$7,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,392.632,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under48c11,839$5,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,647.1120545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over56c8,397$4,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,702.8451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over56c5,413$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37650644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under1c3,533$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.335729.8%17 W · 40 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+160.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under44c3,432$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c3,233$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.882,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3205949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under72c2,759$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Over31c2,581$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.869746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over29c2,410$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.5410253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over57c2,240$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.352070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under43c1,932$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.245936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under45c1,916$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.0432037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over63c1,872$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.6427552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over34c1,800$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.745527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c1,737$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.941,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Under44c1,710$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.481060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd1…44c7backed Under48c1,548$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ac…3281backed Over52c1,548$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under63c1,370$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.53060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under50c1,270$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under43c1,266$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.4952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under66c1,207$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.911353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Under73c1,096$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,056$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56303.3%1 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-93.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1360%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over56c999.95$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9826651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over61c830.81$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under3c749.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec08…3b56backed Under43c626.08$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over64c625.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7117161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over40c624.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.998236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c613.11$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.514,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25839948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.242544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210%0 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick58cpaid-66.5%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under43c450.89$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2361143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Over45c435.68$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.633764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e8d…d730backed Under69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Under47c433$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under42c409.92$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8842048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Under68c390.23$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.211442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under44c383.34$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6730057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc37f…455dbacked Under57c351.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.334170.7%29 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.411449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over64c310.63$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.837463.5%47 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b1…69d2backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under44c283.95$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9423556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over18c261.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6223435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Over62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.892825%7 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over58c249.98$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.997565.3%49 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under39c247.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4314845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Under41c244.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under42c233.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8810949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5616731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over63c219.95$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.382638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over46c215.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2211229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over50c214.08$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.944658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a0f…c51abacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under11c199.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222313%3 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under46c195.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over57c193$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.993655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3111969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under43c180.19$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0316454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over57c177.19$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.195964.4%38 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under57c177$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8311753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa779…5772backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over57c175.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.281154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4132164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0893…c760backed Under44c161.6$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2511053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over50c154.62$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0649753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Under65c152.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002528%7 W · 18 L-7.4wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-48.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.529946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Over58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf666…d8e7backed Under46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under77c144.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.981369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under44c135.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8210655.7%59 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cd…1f94backed Under46c130$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over57c127.05$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.639556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over41c124$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under40c123.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3311443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under43c116.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3151847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under64c115.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over26c115.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3828633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.