Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50b2f4bc8652e139bb9a1986776fe3234c79eb99e3e632d308b699c00a5ef869
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fulham FCof Fulham FC, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Burnley FC | 61c | 10,188$6,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,214.61 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Fulham FC | 39c | 7,692$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.31 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC | 65c | 5,767$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Burnley FC | 16c | 5,301$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.49 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Fulham FC | 39c | 4,801$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.61 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…caf8backed Fulham FC | 24c | 1,246$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Fulham FC | 35c | 1,016$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.72 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Burnley FC | 61c | 814.77$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.01 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Fulham FC | 30c | 666.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.95 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe79a…d65cbacked Fulham FC | 58c | 586.36$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Fulham FC | 40c | 555$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Fulham FC | 38c | 535.28$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 41cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Fulham FC | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Burnley FC | 60c | 436.61$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.97 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Fulham FC | 40c | 427.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Burnley FC | 61c | 332.96$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Fulham FC | 39c | 282.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Burnley FC | 71c | 281.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Fulham FC | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Fulham FC | 29c | 244.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.95 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Burnley FC | 39c | 220.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Burnley FC | 61c | 200.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed Fulham FC | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Fulham FC | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Burnley FC | 68c | 116.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Fulham FC | 28c | 107.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Burnley FC | 19c | 89.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Burnley FC | 75c | 79.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fulham FC | 19c | 71.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fulham FC | 28c | 64.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Burnley FC | 54c | 60.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…d295backed Burnley FC | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked Burnley FC | 75c | 53.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…84ebbacked Fulham FC | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Fulham FC | 38c | 49.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Fulham FC | 38c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Fulham FC | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Burnley FC | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fulham FC | 39c | 34.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…8088backed Burnley FC | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Burnley FC | 62c | 32.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…6f29backed Burnley FC | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fulham FC | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Fulham FC | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Burnley FC | 63c | 28.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Fulham FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…25e4backed Burnley FC | 77c | 14.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)this page
- Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.