TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,692 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbedb…3b26backed Over57c19,994$11,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,500.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c19,429$7,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,970.926,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under25c7,215$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.4120545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c4,810$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.714,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c2,316$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15812649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,761$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.021,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under3c1,652$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.565729.8%17 W · 40 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+160.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over80c1,244$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,171$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.932,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed Under50c1,001$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3914138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under36c818.04$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.71,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under25c790.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under25c784.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.992030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over70c699.69$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4910253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3901…0117backed Under25c602$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b0…bbb6backed Over75c602$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+159%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2943852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over61c553.05$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.694057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over47c536.53$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.534341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over75c531$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13115772%113 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under19c523.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.552,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10032164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210%0 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over47c468.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.094555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under48c464.08$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7616040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1628654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6111969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Over52c384.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.724930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over51c380$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.229343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under31c338.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over77c323.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7510454.8%57 W · 47 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+61.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74fc…9118backed Under25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ac…6755backed Over75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x784d…9827backed Over47c300$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Under20c280$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over46c264.09$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.614656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3628633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over43c230$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.116731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under38c222.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.124658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c197.61$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8310252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over78c194.82$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4916232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over51c181.43$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.96145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over79c157$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2930143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under32c155.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0669742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under45c150.59$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…20e7backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick77cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.945100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Over69c115.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.941233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Under21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Under25c94.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.993141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.919549.5%47 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over51c84.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.316357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under46c83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1211549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over80c82.1$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under22c80.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.431,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9212945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Under26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.534266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under28c71.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9336554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7714351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.081353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over52c65.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3820864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Under21c65.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.672240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over64c62.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.452962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over65c58.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.619660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under21c57.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over74c53.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0472658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09b6…d33ebacked Over50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.92846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307245.8%33 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1611839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6daa…2c78backed Over43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.59641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over68c49.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1641160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.186358.7%37 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4049…25e4backed Under23c47.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.091625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under44c38.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9542658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.246450%32 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.296248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over69c32.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.075052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Over71c31.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.091957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over40c31.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.789949.5%49 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Over75c30.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.594845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.418059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c60…ba30backed Under47c22.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.771838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.