TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,556 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb52b…b156backed Yes56c8,302$4,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.842045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No43c7,215$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,102.632450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes70c6,282$4,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.741,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No42c5,085$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.692751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.116543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c3,311$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.248,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No22c3,219$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.2349449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.977441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0253652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed No44c2,338$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0281833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes58c2,328$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.7623354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c2,113$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.345,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No34c1,453$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.226124.6%15 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No42c1,434$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.111968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62c0…06a0backed No23c951.99$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.81225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes53c930.83$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.83875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes59c918.21$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.213225%8 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c716.09$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.461,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2879651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes77c667.91$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.51,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No24c591.32$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes57c554.95$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8581651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.334641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes57c486.3$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.823,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes51c450.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.985345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked No45c444$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes48c417.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.17745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes69c400$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No26c342.13$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8523254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No25c324.8$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.562,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes58c324.67$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.417143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes57c297.36$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.661,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes55c259.66$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.551,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No35c224.63$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.241,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9017066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes53c197$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.158953.9%48 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No42c190.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No16c183.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.685220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No42c180.72$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.99454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e07…0163backed Yes56c179.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.431338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No42c177.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7613545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed No23c175$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.252740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No41c155.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0210846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…f76ebacked No42c153$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No41c144.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.781,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…479dbacked Yes58c142.69$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.931968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No41c142.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6937851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No12c125.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8711230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253060%18 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No21c124.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.156955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No42c121$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.332,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.27055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No43c119$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1723542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No35c116.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.353,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes58c111$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6217946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes63c108.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0620065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked No37c108.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Yes57c99.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes74c99.43$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.435444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Yes57c86.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.968263.4%52 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No24c83.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.012755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Yes59c81.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Yes50c78.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.151827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Yes58c77.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.61376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No22c76.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5445746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x323c…73e4backed Yes58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a3…2aa6backed No52c65.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No29c65.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9710550.5%53 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes58c59.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9820142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes77c58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.349363.4%59 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No30c57.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8471619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26cb…c558backed No45c55.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes77c55.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.744339.5%17 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No42c54.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.731,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf17d…67c8backed Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x845c…bd64backed Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed No41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.57742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2117950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed No24c46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.094228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf884…0364backed No43c45.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No41c44.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No33c44.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f1…67f2backed Yes58c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No24c42.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.336757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Yes59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.376857.4%39 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5c…75fbbacked Yes57c42.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes52c42.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.354344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No45c41.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.710157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e3…320cbacked Yes58c39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No41c38.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.755453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes79c38.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0116740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Yes59c36.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bba…e4a7backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.