TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76a3…2aa6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4963.3%31 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucharest Open: Nuno Borges vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$17.28
Morelia: Coleman Wong vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.43
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Alex Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.08
Hailey Baptiste vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Bucaramanga: Valerio Aboian vs Garrett Johnsbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.76
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Mensikbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.39
Set Handicap: Mboko (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)backed Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.74
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$46.41
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.02
Naples: Sumit Nagal vs Henri Squirebacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$24.89
Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.25
Set 1 Winner: Nagal vs Squirebacked Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Korda (+1.5)backed Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$14.38
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+167.8%+$132.59
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Jiri Leheckabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Ethan Quinn vs. Jiri Lehecka: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.13
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Asuncion: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.67
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)backed Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.72
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Agut (+1.5)backed Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.81
Duje Ajdukovic vs. Matej Dodig: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Set 1 Winner: Neumayer vs Geabacked Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.52
Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.35
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$37.57
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.42
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$31.57
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.88
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+63.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Play-Inbacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$39.09
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$46.29
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$42.29
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$11.72
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$31.62
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$25.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$11
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$33.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.