NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ef42fe59cc4cfa29b0cf204c3f0ecaa619b3a67c296309ec74343eaacfb16dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 26,212$11,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,416.35 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 19,988$10,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,993.15 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…e5f3backed Over | 54c | 7,200$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…743dbacked Under | 46c | 7,200$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 55c | 5,421$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.36 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 4,950$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.31 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Under | 44c | 3,797$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.47 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 3,667$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 2,080$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.8 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 45c | 2,016$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.57 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 55c | 1,867$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.66 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 50c | 1,836$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.07 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 55c | 1,081$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.25 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 56c | 927$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.12 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 55c | 854.76$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.55 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 793.77$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.38 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 56c | 776$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.56 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 55c | 658.18$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Over | 58c | 467$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 57c | 449.22$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.65 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 53c | 448$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 48c | 445.26$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.06 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Over | 39c | 370.77$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 340.88$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.96 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 57c | 331.29$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 58c | 321.69$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 43c | 304.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 276.4$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Over | 30c | 270.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Over | 52c | 248.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Over | 57c | 228.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…b4a7backed Over | 56c | 227$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Over | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 205$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 35c | 170$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 158.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 58c | 157.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Under | 54c | 148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 147.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Over | 42c | 147.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 58c | 134.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f5…5ef2backed Under | 54c | 131$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 55c | 124.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Over | 65c | 114$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 58c | 110.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 46c | 108.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 47c | 97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 61c | 94.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 91.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 59c | 89.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 38c | 79.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…dc59backed Under | 47c | 73.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Under | 45c | 64.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 39c | 61.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 63c | 51.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d6…145ebacked Over | 39c | 50.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…6a38backed Over | 39c | 50.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…682dbacked Over | 40c | 50.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 49.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…6a02backed Under | 54c | 44.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Over | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…8bf0backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed Over | 40c | 34.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 72c | 29.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Jets vs. RangersJets won
- Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.